SELECT PAPERS

A Long View of Senior Housing Supply Growth

ASHA Special Issues Brief - Winter 2020

There is little debate that barring some catastrophic change, the number of older adults will continue to rise rapidly. What are the implications of this growth on supply growth? This paper derives city-specific forecasts for 138 metropolitan statistical areas.

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State by State 75+ Population Growth Forecast

ASHA Special Issues Brief - Winter 2018
Co-authors: Sarah Rockwood and Phil Downey

Population growth of older adults in the U.S. deservedly garners a great deal of attention from decision makers addressing the housing and services needs of aging Americans.1 The 75+ population is already growing at twice the rate of the overall population and is expected to approach 6 times the overall rate before 2025. This paper focuses on expected population growth of older adults.

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Apartments for Life (A4L) — Expanding Alternatives for Seniors

ASHA Special Issues Brief - Summer 2017
Co-authors: Sarah Rockwood and Phil Downey

Compared to assisted living and independent living, the rate of development of purpose-built senior living apartments has been modest. Herein we assess the opportunities and challenges of Apartments for Life (A4L), a promising subcategory of senior apartments.

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A Projection of U.S. Seniors Housing Demand 2015 – 2040

ASHA Special Issues Brief -Summer 2016
Co-authors: Phil Downey and Larry Rouvelas

In 2015, approximately eleven percent of 80+ seniors in the top 99 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA’s) lived in market-rate independent or assisted living residences. This paper explores the potential population driven growth in future senior housing demand.

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